← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Feb 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Darmstadt win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 365.00 | 518.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| venue | Olympiastadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.60 |
| -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1467.35 | 1526.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.12 | 27.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 30.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.77 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 1.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 2.05 |