← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Feb 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 1461.00 | 1676.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1424.84 | 1531.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.61 | -15.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 1.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| league points | 20.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 1.77 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.00 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 2.55 |