← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 24, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Karlsruhe win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.5 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Hertha +0.5 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| coach days | 2184.00 | 357.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -1.00 |
| 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1464.42 | 1465.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.35 | -13.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| league points | 25.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.37 |
| solidity v1 | -2.64 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.64 | 1.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.55 |