← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Erbst
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 40% | 2.35 |
| Braunschweig win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Finn Porath · FC Schalke 04 |
| 60' | ⚽ | Mehmet Aydin · Braunschweig |
| 85' | ⚽ | Sidi Sané · Braunschweig |
| 88' | ⚽ | Soufiane El-Faouzi · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 142.00 | 234.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1364.76 | 1530.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.95 | 51.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.83 |
| league points | 17.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -1.44 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | 1.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.69 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.58 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 0.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.17 | 1.11 |