← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Magdeburg win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 55% | 1.70 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 27' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 29' | 🟨 | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
| 33' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
| 35' | ⚽ | Mateusz Żukowski · Magdeburg |
| 43' | 🟨 | Semih Şahin · Kaiserslautern |
| 49' | ⚽ | Alexander Nollenberger · Magdeburg |
| 53' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 65' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Kaiserslautern |
| 70' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Fritz Walter Stadion |
| 73' | 🟨 | Richmond Tachie · Kaiserslautern |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mateusz Żukowski · Magdeburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Maximilian Breunig · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dickson Abiama · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dariusz Stalmach · Magdeburg |
| coach days | 263.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1489.28 | 1426.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.25 | 23.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.90 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| league points | 27.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 19.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | 1.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.58 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 2.36 |