← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 53% | 1.75 |
| Greuther Furth win | 23% | 4.00 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Christian Rasmussen · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 24' | ⚽ | Cédric Itten · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 38' | 🟨 | Elias Egouli · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 44' | 🟨 | Florent Muslija · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 65' | ⚽ | Florent Muslija · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mathias Olesen · Greuther Furth |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jesper Daland · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 89' | 🟨 | Lukas Reich · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 1418.00 | 233.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1416.50 | 1355.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.25 | -6.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 67.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.48 |
| league points | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | -0.67 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.84 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 1.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.21 |