← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. P. Eckermann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Karlsruhe win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.75 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Francis Onyeka · Bochum |
| 47' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 65' | 🟨 | Kjell Wätjen · Bochum |
| 68' | 🟨 | Koji Miyoshi · Bochum |
| 69' | ⚽ | Francis Onyeka · Bochum |
| 86' | ⚽ | Shio Fukuda · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 353.00 | 2149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| elo | 1505.68 | 1443.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.86 | -59.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.61 |
| league points | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -14.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.66 |
| solidity v1 | -0.30 | -3.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| state index | 0.29 | -1.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 3.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.08 | 0.67 |