← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Wienefeld
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Bielefeld win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Hertha −0.5 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Diego Demme · Hertha |
| 67' | ⚽ | Paul Seguin · Hertha |
| 75' | 🟨 | Monju Momuluh · Bielefeld |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marius Wörl · Bielefeld |
| 82' | 🟨 | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 85' | 🟥 | Toni Leistner · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stefano Russo · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Olympiastadion |
| coach days | 321.00 | 902.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1468.92 | 1420.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.88 | -11.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 27.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| solidity v1 | -0.43 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.47 |