← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Reichel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Bochum win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Bochum −0.5 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Bochum |
| 70' | 🟨 | Cajetan Lenz · Bochum |
| 87' | 🟨 | Koji Miyoshi · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matúš Bero · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 4 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 256.00 | 346.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1521.40 | 1503.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.12 | 26.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.40 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.81 |
| league points | 29.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.36 |
| solidity v1 | -0.55 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -1.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 2.52 |