← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Bickel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 78' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Kaiserslautern |
| 80' | 🟨 | Joel Felix · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 896.00 | 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1420.63 | 1489.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.59 | -9.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 20.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 0.61 |
| solidity v1 | -0.82 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.84 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 1.82 |