← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 12, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Tom Bauer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Greuther Furth win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha +0.5 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Greuther Furth +0.5 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 33' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 36' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
| 42' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 58' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
| 65' | 🟨 | Philipp Ziereis · Greuther Furth |
| 81' | ⚽ | Dennis Srbeny · Greuther Furth |
| 85' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · Hertha |
| 88' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 225.00 | 314.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1353.53 | 1470.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.13 | 16.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.00 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.47 | 0.82 |
| league points | 14.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.22 |
| solidity v1 | -1.05 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.83 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.65 |