← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 7, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Konrad Oldhafer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Magdeburg win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.75 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Hertha −0.75 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Noah Pesch · Magdeburg |
| 10' | 🟨 | Max Geschwill · Magdeburg |
| 74' | ⚽ | Alexander Nollenberger · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rayan Ghrieb · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rayan Ghrieb · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Olympiastadion |
| coach days | 309.00 | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1491.47 | 1406.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.90 | 7.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.69 |
| league points | 26.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 0.86 |
| solidity v1 | 0.68 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.87 |