← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Wolfgang Haslberger, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Bielefeld win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Bielefeld +0 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Farid Alfa-Ruprecht · Bochum |
| 34' | 🟨 | Kjell Wätjen · Bochum |
| 61' | 🟨 | Monju Momuluh · Bielefeld |
| 70' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Bochum |
| 80' | 🟨 | Cajetan Lenz · Bochum |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marius Wörl · Bielefeld |
| 85' | 🟨 | Philipp Strompf · Bochum |
| 88' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 339.00 | 889.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1497.06 | 1427.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.67 | 17.72 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.65 |
| league points | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.30 |
| solidity v1 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.79 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.66 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.59 | 1.42 |