← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Jarno Wienefeld, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Bochum +0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Sissoko · Bochum |
| 13' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Sissoko · Bochum |
| 17' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Bochum |
| 30' | 🟨 | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | 🟨 | Philipp Ziereis · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 212.00 | 332.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1364.62 | 1482.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.65 | 15.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.01 |
| solidity v1 | -1.54 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -1.03 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -1.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 2.40 |