← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 28, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 66% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Karlsruhe win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −1.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Hannover −1.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 67' | ⚽ | Husseyn Chakroun · Hannover |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mustapha Bundu · Hannover |
| 70' | ⚽ | Benedikt Pichler · Hannover |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marcel Beifus · Karlsruhe |
| 77' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Hannover |
| 84' | 🟨 | Waniss Taibi · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 241.00 | 2127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1508.45 | 1482.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.58 | -18.15 |
| eye test v1 | 1.12 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.73 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 25.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | -0.10 | -1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 2.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.15 |