← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Max Burda, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 63% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Greuther Furth win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −1 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Greuther Furth −1 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 37' | 🟨 | Kai Klefisch · Darmstadt |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lukas Reich · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | David Abrangao · Greuther Furth |
| 52' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 58' | ⚽ | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 60' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
| 63' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 68' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · Darmstadt |
| 78' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor |
| coach days | 447.00 | 205.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1482.91 | 1372.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.45 | -23.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 14.31 | 15.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | -0.32 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.04 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.46 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.14 |