← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Hannover win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Benjamin Källman · Hannover |
| 36' | ⚽ | Benjamin Källman · Hannover |
| 57' | 🟨 | Noël Aséko · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| coach days | 1605.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 3.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1577.58 | 1487.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.01 | -12.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.42 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 1.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.48 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| state index | 0.69 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.60 |