← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 21, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Michael Bacher, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Braunschweig win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −1 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Hertha −1 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | ⚽ | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mehmet Aydin · Braunschweig |
| 72' | 🟨 | Max Marie · Braunschweig |
| 76' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
| 82' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Olympiastadion |
| coach days | 293.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1474.77 | 1337.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.22 | -25.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.60 |
| league points | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 12.92 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.27 |
| solidity v1 | -0.61 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | 0.28 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.46 |