← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Welz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Hertha win | 33% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Leon Robinson · Kaiserslautern |
| 20' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
| 38' | 🟨 | Kennet Eichhorn · Hertha |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Fritz Walter Stadion |
| coach days | 221.00 | 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1499.53 | 1462.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.82 | 36.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| league points | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -0.08 |
| solidity v1 | -0.09 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.37 |