← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Wolfgang Haslberger, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Darmstadt win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Killian Corredor · Darmstadt |
| 18' | ⚽ | Ime Okon · Hannover |
| 33' | ⚽ | Kolja Oudenne · Hannover |
| 35' | 🟨 | Hayate Matsuda · Hannover |
| 50' | ⚽ | Killian Corredor · Darmstadt |
| 61' | 🟨 | Virgil Ghiță · Hannover |
| 75' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hiroki Akiyama · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 16 |
| 10 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 221.00 | 433.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1499.86 | 1470.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.89 | -5.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.56 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | 0.04 |
| solidity v1 | 0.63 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 1.88 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.61 |