← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Schwengers, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Karlsruhe win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Joel Grodowski · Bielefeld |
| 46' | ⚽ | Monju Momuluh · Bielefeld |
| 50' | ⚽ | Monju Momuluh · Bielefeld |
| 60' | ⚽ | Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee · Bielefeld |
| 78' | 🟨 | David Herold · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 861.00 | 2107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1432.13 | 1522.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.50 | 12.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 0.14 |
| solidity v1 | -1.01 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.20 |