← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 2, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Felix Wagner, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Magdeburg win | 32% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Bochum −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
| 41' | ⚽ | Kjell Wätjen · Bochum |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mats Pannewig · Bochum |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dominik Reimann · Magdeburg |
| 60' | ⚽ | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 78' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 84' | 🟨 | Laurin Ulrich · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matúš Bero · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 15 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 305.00 | 62.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1476.94 | 1413.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.79 | -14.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.40 |
| solidity v1 | -0.62 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.35 |