← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Richard Hempel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Bielefeld win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 28' | ⚽ | Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee · Bielefeld |
| 33' | ⚽ | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marcel Schuhen · Darmstadt |
| 60' | 🟨 | Christopher Lannert · Bielefeld |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marco Richter · Darmstadt |
| 73' | ⚽ | Maximilian Großer · Bielefeld |
| 81' | 🟨 | Kai Klefisch · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Killian Corredor · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor |
| coach days | 426.00 | 854.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1473.30 | 1429.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.87 | 17.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.61 |
| league points | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 7.35 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.54 |
| solidity v1 | -0.04 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.19 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 2.12 |