← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Max Burda, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 40% | 2.35 |
| Karlsruhe win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Mertcan Ayhan · FC Schalke 04 |
| 25' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 40' | 🟨 | Amin Younes · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Adrian Gantenbein · FC Schalke 04 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Loris Karius · FC Schalke 04 |
| 76' | ⚽ | Marcel Beifus · Karlsruhe |
| 84' | 🟨 | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 84' | 🟨 | Vitalie Becker · FC Schalke 04 |
| 87' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| coach days | 2100.00 | 184.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1553.94 | 1522.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.67 | 67.35 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| league points | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 7.81 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -1.27 |
| solidity v1 | -0.25 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 26.49 |
| state index | 0.18 | 1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -1.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 2.28 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.04 |