← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 24, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Eric-Dominic Weisbach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 44% | 2.37 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0.5 | 56% | 1.83 |
| Karlsruhe +0.5 | 44% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 25' | 🟨 | Marcel Beifus · Karlsruhe |
| 34' | ⚽ | Lilian Egloff · Karlsruhe |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 79' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 176.00 | 2092.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1380.13 | 1500.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.11 | -20.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| league points | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| state index | -1.01 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |