← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 36% | 2.61 |
| Hertha win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Bochum +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Julian Eitschberger · Hertha |
| 13' | ⚽ (og) | Michał Karbownik · Bochum |
| 32' | ⚽ | Francis Onyeka · Bochum |
| 60' | ⚽ | Francis Onyeka · Bochum |
| 65' | 🟨 | Leandro Morgalla · Bochum |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mats Pannewig · Bochum |
| 72' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matúš Bero · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Demme · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 290.00 | 259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1466.46 | 1453.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.19 | 14.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| league points | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 14.31 | 14.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |