← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Robin Braun, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 49% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 16' | 🟨 | Mika Haas · Kaiserslautern |
| 26' | 🟨 | Rafael Pinto Pedrosa · Karlsruhe |
| 28' | 🟨 | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 28' | 🟨 | Faride Alidou · Kaiserslautern |
| 29' | 🟨 | Lilian Egloff · Karlsruhe |
| 54' | ⚽ | Naatan Skyttä · Kaiserslautern |
| 58' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 62' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | ⚽ | Lilian Egloff · Karlsruhe |
| 88' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eymen Laghrissi · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hans Christian Bernat · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 2086.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1513.23 | 1491.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.85 | 41.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 13.69 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.54 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | -1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |