← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 17, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Hannover −0.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
| 14' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Hasan Kuruçay · FC Schalke 04 |
| 85' | ⚽ | Christian Gomis · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 199.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1499.43 | 1456.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.43 | 35.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.41 | -1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | -1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |