← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 5, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Mario Hildenbrand, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 52% | 1.94 |
| Greuther Furth win | 24% | 4.33 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0.75 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Hannover +0.75 | 47% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Benjamin Källman · Hannover |
| 24' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 39' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Reno Münz · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jomaine Consbruch · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | ⚽ | Hayate Matsuda · Hannover |
| 82' | ⚽ | David Abrangao · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 157.00 | 187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1394.52 | 1500.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.48 | 4.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| league points | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |