← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Michael Bacher, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 47% | 2.03 |
| Bochum win | 28% | 3.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 12' | 🟨 | Matúš Bero · Bochum |
| 15' | ⚽ | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 36' | 🟨 | Cajetan Lenz · Bochum |
| 43' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Bochum |
| 55' | 🟨 | Erhan Mašović · Bochum |
| 63' | 🟨 | Farid Alfa-Ruprecht · Bochum |
| 79' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 86' | ⚽ | Paul Joly |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Fritz Walter Stadion |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Jan Elvedi · Bochum |
| coach days | 186.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1483.16 | 1474.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.88 | -55.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 45.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| league points | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |