← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Tom Bauer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Greuther Furth win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.75 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Greuther Furth |
| 46' | 🟨 | Philipp Ziereis · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | ⚽ | Finn Porath · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vitalie Becker · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Katic · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Veltins Arena |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 148.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1473.67 | 1433.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.71 | -4.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.31 | — |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |