← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 19, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Welz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.92 |
| Greuther Furth win | 21% | 4.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 36' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Isaiah Young · Bielefeld |
| 50' | ⚽ | Marius Wörl · Bielefeld |
| 80' | ⚽ | Marco John · Greuther Furth |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 811.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1431.48 | 1382.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.29 | -18.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.63 |
| league points | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |