← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Richard Hempel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 45% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟥 | Noah König · Greuther Furth |
| 6' | 🟨 | Paul Joly · Kaiserslautern |
| 23' | 🟨 | Faride Alidou · Kaiserslautern |
| 33' | ⚽ | Naatan Skyttä · Kaiserslautern |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mathias Olesen · Greuther Furth |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mika Haas · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Naatan Skyttä · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maxwell Gyamfi · Kaiserslautern |
| 53' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Kaiserslautern |
| 58' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days |
| 136.00 |
| 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1399.62 | 1462.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.44 | 0.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| league points | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |