← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 56% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Hertha win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 51% | 2.04 |
| Hertha −0.75 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 51' | ⚽ | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 54' | 🟨 | Julian Eitschberger · Hertha |
| 56' | 🟨 | Noël Aséko · Hannover |
| 66' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Hannover |
| 68' | ⚽ | Dawid Kownacki · Hertha |
| 82' | 🟨 | Kennet Eichhorn · Hertha |
| 84' | 🟨 | Toni Leistner · Hertha |
| 88' | 🟨 | Kevin Sessa · Hertha |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 15 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 165.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1519.60 | 1413.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.27 | -31.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 14.31 | 15.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |