← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: L. Benen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Braunschweig win | 18% | 5.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Darmstadt −1 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.58 |
| Under | 38% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Mehmet Aydin · Braunschweig |
| 49' | 🟨 | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 58' | 🟨 | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 62' | ⚽ | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 85' | 🟥 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
| 86' | ⚽ | Matej Maglica · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor |
| coach days | 377.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1446.31 | 1403.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.55 | 13.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | — |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |