← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 12, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Oldhafer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Magdeburg win | 28% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 52' | ⚽ | Mael Corboz · Bielefeld |
| 62' | ⚽ | Joel Grodowski · Bielefeld |
| 69' | 🟨 | Eldin Džogović · Magdeburg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 804.00 | 11.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1417.20 | 1460.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.65 | -18.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |