← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 31, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Greuther Furth win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Magdeburg −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Aaron Keller · Greuther Furth |
| 24' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 28' | ⚽ | Alexander Ahl Holmstrom · Magdeburg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Max Geschwill · Magdeburg |
| 62' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | ⚽ | Alexander Ahl Holmstrom · Magdeburg |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alexander Nollenberger · Magdeburg |
| 69' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 71' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Alexander Nollenberger · Magdeburg |
| 71' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Avnet-Arena |
| Alexander Nollenberger · Magdeburg |
| 76' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | ⚽ | Rayan Ghrieb · Magdeburg |
| 84' | 🟨 | Rayan Ghrieb · Magdeburg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Philipp Ziereis · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Noah Pesch · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marco John · Greuther Furth |
| coach days | 242.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1474.52 | 1385.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.43 | 2.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |