← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Braunschweig win | 34% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Braunschweig +0 | 46% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.74 |
| Under | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Joel Grodowski · Bielefeld |
| 14' | 🟨 | Christian Joe Conteh · Braunschweig |
| 28' | 🟨 | Robin Heußer · Braunschweig |
| 34' | 🟨 | Benjamin Boakye · Bielefeld |
| 64' | ⚽ | Christian Joe Conteh · Braunschweig |
| 86' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Braunschweig |
| 89' | ⚽ | Isaiah Young · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Micheler · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 29.00 | 791.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1404.76 | 1415.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.48 | 1.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| league points | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |