← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Bochum win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Bochum |
| 65' | ⚽ | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 76' | ⚽ | Hasan Kuruçay · FC Schalke 04 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Felix Passlack · Bochum |
| 79' | ⚽ | Bryan Lasme · FC Schalke 04 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Matúš Bero · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Veltins Arena |
| coach days | 114.00 | 234.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1408.68 | 1530.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.77 | 20.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.54 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |