← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Wagner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
| Braunschweig win | 24% | 4.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Roko Šimić · Karlsruhe |
| 35' | 🟨 | Roko Šimić · Karlsruhe |
| 42' | 🟨 | Lilian Egloff · Karlsruhe |
| 54' | 🟨 | Louis Breunig · Braunschweig |
| 57' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 70' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 79' | 🟨 | Erencan Yardımcı · Braunschweig |
| 84' | 🟨 | Robin Heußer · Braunschweig |
| 85' | 🟨 | Levente Szabó · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟥 | Louis Breunig · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 2030.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1551.04 | 1424.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.92 | 2.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.40 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 25.12 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |