← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: K. Oldhafer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Greuther Furth win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 32' | ⚽ | Lukas Frenkert · Braunschweig |
| 35' | ⚽ | Erencan Yardımcı · Braunschweig |
| 45' | 🟨 | Philipp Ziereis · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | 🟨 | Max Marie · Braunschweig |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mathias Olesen · Greuther Furth |
| 88' | ⚽ | Felix Higl · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mehmet Aydin · Braunschweig |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Polter · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 8.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1405.02 | 1407.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.23 | 6.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.29 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |