← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Braunschweig win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Erencan Yardımcı · Braunschweig |
| 18' | 🟨 | Andi Hoti · Magdeburg |
| 54' | 🟥 | Kevin Ehlers · Braunschweig |
| 58' | 🟨 | Lubambo Musonda · Magdeburg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
| 77' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 82' | ⚽ | Mehmet Aydin · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | Avnet-Arena |
| coach days | 214.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1493.74 | 1390.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.51 | -13.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.24 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |