← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.11 |
| Karlsruhe win | 21% | 4.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Karlsruhe +0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Mattes Hansen · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 50' | ⚽ | Lilian Egloff · Karlsruhe |
| 54' | ⚽ | Lilian Egloff · Karlsruhe |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ilyas Ansah · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 72' | ⚽ | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days |
| 1933.00 |
| 1417.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1487.27 | 1542.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.95 | 27.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| league points | 53.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |