← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 45% | 2.11 |
| Hannover win | 30% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Hannover −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nicolò Tresoldi · Hannover |
| 37' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 45' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 64' | 🟨 | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days |
| 106.00 |
| 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1446.14 | 1468.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.87 | -28.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| league points | 43.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |