← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schröder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Greuther Furth win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Hamburger SV +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.40 |
| Under | 32% | 3.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Marco John · Greuther Furth |
| 41' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 50' | ⚽ | Jean-Luc Dompé · Hamburger SV |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 63' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 87' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Niko Giesselmann · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davie Selke · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days |
| 17.00 |
| 198.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1387.18 | 1589.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.48 | -17.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 1.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.90 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 37.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| state index | -0.79 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |