← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 65% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 16% | 5.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln −1.25 | 50% | 1.91 |
| Kaiserslautern −1.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.40 |
| Under | 32% | 3.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Eric Martel · 1. FC Köln |
| 29' | ⚽ | Luca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 70' | 🟨 | Frank Ronstadt · Kaiserslautern |
| 76' | ⚽ | Florian Kainz · 1. FC Köln |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mark Uth · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | RheinEnergieSTADION |
| coach days |
| 17.00 |
| 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1553.22 | 1473.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.32 | -11.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 1.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| league points | 62.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 25.50 | — |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |