← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 69% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.38 |
| Regensburg win | 13% | 7.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −1.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Regensburg −1.25 | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.45 |
| Under | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Leopold Wurm · Regensburg |
| 38' | 🟨 | Andreas Müller · Darmstadt |
| 57' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 65' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andreas Müller · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days |
| 259.00 |
| 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1423.77 | 1315.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.76 | 25.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.69 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 39.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 36.00 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -1.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -1.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |