← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Nurnberg win | 23% | 4.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Mahir Emreli · Nurnberg |
| 20' | 🟨 | Mahir Emreli · Nurnberg |
| 20' | ⚽ | Mahir Emreli · Nurnberg |
| 31' | ⚽ | Julian Justvan · Nurnberg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mahir Emreli · Nurnberg |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sebastian Polter · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.85 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 17.00 |
| 351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.35 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.26 |
| elo | 1386.95 | 1403.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.14 | -40.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 35.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 8.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -12.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 6.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.58 | -1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |