← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: E. Weisbach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Regensburg win | 26% | 3.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Karlsruhe +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 17' | ⚽ | Rasim Bulić · Regensburg |
| 31' | ⚽ | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 39' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lilian Egloff · Karlsruhe |
| 65' | ⚽ | Eric Hottmann · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Beifus · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days |
| 10.00 |
| 1926.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1311.95 | 1490.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.47 | 28.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| league points | 27.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.09 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.82 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.65 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |