← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Darmstadt win | 28% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Luca Marseiler · Darmstadt |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Schuhen · Darmstadt |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 47' | 🟨 | Clemens Riedel · Darmstadt |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matej Maglica · Darmstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Kenny Prince Redondo · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 40.00 |
| 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1466.39 | 1431.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.51 | 9.61 |
| eye test v1 | 1.08 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 51.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |